ICT Sick Sister Consolidation Model

"Sick Sister is similar but not the same as SMT"

Source: NQ Futures Review & The ICT Sick Sister Consolidation Model

Definition

"Sick Sister is similar but not the same as SMT"

(2:14-2:22)
Sick Sister Concept

"There are conditions with a trending Market where the Sick Sister opportunity will see a move to hasn't transpired yet on one asset or correlated Market meeting or exceeding an old high or an old low"

"The Sick Sister approach or concept that I'm using is that it's going to try to do it later on and you want to put your focus on the weakest one"

(7:47-7:57)

Consolidation Context

"The economic calendar this week is heavy-handed on the Wednesday Thursday and Friday so Monday and Tuesday is lacking any real meaningful medium or high impact news drivers so it's expected to have these consolidation dates which is what we're seeing here"

(0:36-0:54)
Converging New Week Opening Gaps

"Whenever you have converging new week opening gaps or real close to one another the Market's going to be real likely to consolidate and go sideways"

"That doesn't mean it can't be traded or you can't find setups in it it just means you have to be much more Nimble and you have to be more versed in Market symmetry"

(1:13-1:24)

SMT vs Sick Sister

SMT (Smart Money Technique)

"This high is higher than this one whereas this high is higher we have a very specific time of day and we're also looking at this Divergence"

Sick Sister Approach

"The Sick Sister approach or concept that I'm using is that it's going to try to do it later on and you want to put your focus on the weakest one"

Key Distinction

"It's similar but the approach to using the divergences and the later discount or later premium how you use the information is starkly different"

"The Bible says so first one now shall later be last first one now shall later be last"

(7:57-8:05)

Identifying the Sick Sister

"Notice that this Market here on the Dow was able to make a higher high whereas the NASDAQ was unwilling to make that higher high"

(1:58-2:11)
The Weak Market

"This one couldn't even muster up enough momentum to climb higher"

"Using the Sick Sister in a consolidation Market means we're looking for the one that failed to make a higher high or lower low which is like typical SMT"

(7:38-7:47)

Entry Framework

"If this one's weak we're going to wait for this one to drop down into a deep discount"

(4:33-4:39)
  1. "From this low up to this high here is your optimal trade entry levels here and here's equilibrium"
  2. "So it trades down below here and then goes into the order block which is the consecutive down closed candles the black ones"
  3. "And then we have a fair value Gap here so there's your discount"

Buy Side Targets

"If you look at this High here in this High here that's buy side resting here and I don't need to go all the way up to here to find a profitable trade"

"So I can be buying in this fair value Gap inside of the order block below equilibrium inside of optimal trade entry these two respective levels here 62 and 79 on the Fib"

(5:17-5:27)

Visual Diagram

Sick Sister Consolidation Setup

Sick Sister in Consolidation High Low Equilibrium DISCOUNT PREMIUM OTE 62% OTE 79% Order Block "consecutive down closed candles" Fair Value Gap "Buy Side" resting here Entry Point "buying in fair value gap inside of order block below equilibrium" 8 AM Legend High (Buy Side Target) Low (Discount Area) Equilibrium

Three-Asset Divergence Comparison

DOW "Two of both highs were taken out" Higher High ✓ ES "One of two highs were taken out" Partial Higher High NASDAQ (Sick Sister) "Neither high was taken out" Lower High = WEAK "This one couldn't even muster up enough momentum to climb higher"

Trade Execution

"I accumulated the position inside the order block inside the fair value Gap inside of a deep discount aiming for the buy side above this High here"

(5:44-5:58)
Exit Strategy

"I got out above here because I knew that once it takes out the buy side it could want to rejoin what has been seen in the ES and the Dow"

"I did not need it to go up to here even though it was likely to do so"

(6:14-6:19)

The Catch-Up Move

"But the NASDAQ ramped all the way back up into the buy side here"

Practical Rules

"When we're buying we're trying to buy at a discount so how are you rallied up so it needs to drop down"

(9:55-10:00)
PD Arrays Alignment

"It's done oh a handsome job of getting down into a cheap discount price with PD arrays that are lining up with a potential long the run out the buy side here"

Expectation in Consolidation

"That's the Sick Sister and we're in consolidation so that means it's likely to drop down to a discount and then rallied to go back above the buy side"

Study Cards

Click to Reveal Answers

What is the Sick Sister concept?
"There are conditions with a trending Market where the Sick Sister opportunity will see a move to hasn't transpired yet on one asset or correlated Market meeting or exceeding an old high or an old low"
Click to reveal
How is Sick Sister different from SMT?
"Sick Sister is similar but not the same as SMT... it's similar but the approach to using the divergences and the later discount or later premium how you use the information is starkly different"
Click to reveal
Which market should you focus on when using the Sick Sister approach?
"You want to put your focus on the weakest one because well the Bible says so first one now shall later be last"
Click to reveal
What indicates a consolidation market environment?
"Whenever you have converging new week opening gaps or real close to one another the Market's going to be real likely to consolidate and go sideways"
Click to reveal
Where should you buy when using the Sick Sister in consolidation?
"So I can be buying in this fair value Gap inside of the order block below equilibrium inside of optimal trade entry these two respective levels here 62 and 79 on the Fib"
Click to reveal
What defines the Sick Sister in a three-asset comparison?
"Two of both highs were taken out on the Dow... One of two highs were taken out on ES... Neither high was taken out on NASDAQ that's the Sick Sister"
Click to reveal
What is the expectation for the Sick Sister in consolidation?
"That's the Sick Sister and we're in consolidation so that means it's likely to drop down to a discount and then rallied to go back above the buy side"
Click to reveal
Why did the NASDAQ fail to make a higher high?
"This one couldn't even muster up enough momentum to climb higher"
Click to reveal
What skills are needed to trade consolidation?
"That doesn't mean it can't be traded or you can't find setups in it it just means you have to be much more Nimble and you have to be more versed in Market symmetry"
Click to reveal
What was the exit logic for the NASDAQ trade?
"I got out above here because I knew that once it takes out the buy side it could want to rejoin what has been seen in the ES and the Dow"
Click to reveal