Change in the State of Delivery

"it's this change in the state of delivery that is the order block"

Definition

"it's this change in the state of delivery that is the order block"

"every time that we see a new change in the state of delivery there it's offering them another opportunity to build their position and build it larger"

"three down closed candles that opening price right there that candle's opening price you're going to look at this this value right here"

Buy Program

What is a Buy Program

"A buy program is not a market maker buy Model A buy program is when the market goes when an algorithm starts going into buy side delivery meaning when the market starts delivering price higher"

"it matters not how much buying pressure there is or how much selling pressure it is it's going to go there regardless of whether you want it to or not because if the Market's going to go there it's going there and it can do so with low volume"

When Buy Program Starts

"the market rallies from here and enters a buy program buy program is when the market just starts booking higher prices"

Buy Program Duration

"until we get to a pull of liquidity in this case it would be buy side here or a premium inefficiency"

Buy Program Pattern 3:15 PM 3:45 PM Low Three Down Closed Candles Buy Here Displacement Buy Side Liquidity "market just starts booking higher prices" Last Hour Macro (3:15 - 3:45)

Order Block Formation

Core Concept

"One Candle does not make a narrative one candle doesn't make a order Block it's this change in the state of delivery that is the order block"

Using Series of Down Closed Candles

"if there's ever a series of down closed candles you use that entire block of down closed candles as one because it's delivery that you're looking at not just simply One Candle"

Identifying the Price Level

"three down closed candles that opening price right there that candle's opening price you're going to look at this this value right here okay that price is 4145.45"

Smart Money Activity at Order Block

"when it comes back down and touches that they're buying it when it trades on this candle here and trades and goes down to it again they're buying it their algorithm which is high frequency and it's hammering hammering constantly hammering the market at these price points they're buying it here they're buying it here they're buying it here and they're buying it here"

"every single time we leave a down closed candle they're watching their positions move into profit"

Last Hour Macro (3:15 - 3:45 PM)

Macro Definition

"between 3:15 and 345 last hour macro it will run on liquidity that has not been engaged meaning here's 315 New York local time 345 that's your last hour trading the macro"

What the Macro Does

"the algorithm will do a spooling so you could be a buyer trading down here a volume IM balance order block buying that at the 15 minute after 3:00 and expecting price to start delivering higher"

"that macro is Market on close it means it's going to cause a price run as we get in towards the end of the day"

Expected Movement

"if you do not have a clear setup and it's not obvious you do nothing and you just wait for 20 minutes to 15 minutes before 4:00 and then you'll get some kind of a 5 to eight maybe sometimes 10 handle run"

Market Function & Psychology

Why Market Rallies

"it does not Rally because smart money bought it does not Rally because smart money has more buying pressure it rallies because it's rallying it's designed and it's coded to do so"

Draw on Liquidity

"the focus is over here this is the draw on liquidity where the Market's going to be pulled to why why should it go up there because there's buy side up there buy stops willing buyers to buy at a higher price when it's down here think about that that's the life essence of these markets"

Market Seeking Behavior

"it's going to where the orders are and inefficiencies so the Market's going to seek liquidity and fair value constantly it's always this EB and flow between the two it's constantly trying to facilitate the most efficient model of delivery for Price that's the function of these price engines"

Retail vs Smart Money

"when this pass here occurs Traders are going to look at that and say oh it's going to take out that low they want to be short selling selling selling smart money's buying buying buying changeing the state of delivery buy buy buy buy boom displacement"

Entry Rules & Risk Management

Where to Buy

"this is where I've been telling you to buy this is where I buy this is where I buy that's where smart money engages they're in early I'm teaching you how to get in where it's obvious to see"

"Buy in this fair value got okay"

Stop Loss Management

"don't Trail the stop loss up real tight you got to get first profit before you ever roll your stop to anything considered Break Even or close to that"

Fair Value Gap Behavior

"the difference between this candle's low and this candle's high is a Cy sell-side balance buyid and efficiency that's the classification of this particular fair value Gap meaning it only offered sell side so to be repriced correctly and have an efficient fair value offered to the marketplace between this candle's low and this candle's High it will want to reprice price up to it"

Repricing vs Rebalancing

"it is not rebalanced because it did that that's not rebalancing it's repricing when it leaves this range then it is balanced then it's likely to support price where it doesn't need to go back down there so that's the only distinction I'm going to make"

Study & Review

Click each card to reveal the answer (from transcript quotes)

What is the definition of a "change in the state of delivery"?
"it's this change in the state of delivery that is the order block... three down closed candles that opening price right there that candle's opening price you're going to look at this"
What is a buy program and how does it differ from a market maker buy model?
"A buy program is not a market maker buy Model A buy program is when the market goes when an algorithm starts going into buy side delivery meaning when the market starts delivering price higher"
Does buying or selling pressure determine where the market goes during a buy program?
"it matters not how much buying pressure there is or how much selling pressure it is it's going to go there regardless of whether you want it to or not because if the Market's going to go there it's going there and it can do so with low volume"
What is the last hour macro time window?
"between 3:15 and 345 last hour macro it will run on liquidity that has not been engaged meaning here's 315 New York local time 345 that's your last hour trading the macro"
How should you handle a series of down closed candles when identifying order blocks?
"if there's ever a series of down closed candles you use that entire block of down closed candles as one because it's delivery that you're looking at not just simply One Candle"
Why does the market rally according to ICT?
"it does not Rally because smart money bought it does not Rally because smart money has more buying pressure it rallies because it's rallying it's designed and it's coded to do so"
What is the function of price engines in the market?
"it's constantly trying to facilitate the most efficient model of delivery for Price that's the function of these price engines"
When should you trail your stop loss to break even?
"don't Trail the stop loss up real tight you got to get first profit before you ever roll your stop to anything considered Break Even or close to that"
What happens when smart money's algorithm encounters down closed candle price levels?
"when it comes back down and touches that they're buying it... their algorithm which is high frequency and it's hammering hammering constantly hammering the market at these price points they're buying it here they're buying it here they're buying it here and they're buying it here"
What is the difference between repricing and rebalancing a fair value gap?
"it is not rebalanced because it did that that's not rebalancing it's repricing when it leaves this range then it is balanced then it's likely to support price where it doesn't need to go back down there"
What should you do if you don't have a clear setup during the last hour of trading?
"if you do not have a clear setup and it's not obvious you do nothing and you just wait for 20 minutes to 15 minutes before 4:00 and then you'll get some kind of a 5 to eight maybe sometimes 10 handle run"
What is the market seeking constantly?
"the Market's going to seek liquidity and fair value constantly it's always this EB and flow between the two"